JEE2012 Predictions Jun – Aug 2012

 

 

Standard Nomenclature:

 

Dates and times are UT

 

“Event type” = (A) B (C)

Where:

A = object in front

B = event, where:

      e = eclipse

      o = occultation

      x = dimming by atmospheric extinction

C = object in back

Objects:

      J = Jupiter

      I = Io

      II = Europa

      III = Ganymede

      IV = Callisto

      Te = Eastern tip of the Torus of Io

      Tw = Western tip of the Torus of Io

 

 

Highlighted events for Jun – Aug 2012

UT day time

II Atm Radii

bodies Sep "

Event Type

Target           P mag

Predicted Mag drop

Start

 2012-Jul-21 13:10

24.6

9.5

II X I

5.753

 

Minima

 2012-Jul-21 16:10

12.7

4.9

II X I

5.848

0.095

End

 2012-Jul-21 20:25

24.5

9.4

II X I

5.754

 

Start

 2012-Jul-24 12:55

 

21.8

II X I  TeXI

5.755

 

Minima 1

 2012-Jul-24 13:45

 

13.5

II X I  TeXI

5.940

0.185

Minima 2

 2012-Jul-24 14:45

17.6

6.8

II X I  TeXI

5.919

0.164

End

 2012-Jul-24 16:15

 

10.1

II X I  TeXI

5.749

 

Start

 2012-Jul-25 00:40

25.0

9.7

II X I TwXI

5.740

 

Minima 1

 2012-Jul-25 03:15

11.4

4.4

II X I TwXI

5.849

0.108

Minima 2

 2012-Jul-25 08:20

15.9

6.2

II X I TwXI

5.813

0.073

Minima 3

 2012-Jul-25 12:40

 

28.7

II X I TwXI

5.940

0.200

End

 2012-Jul-25 13:25

 

36.6

II X I TwXI

5.781

 

Start

 2012-Jul-31 17:00

24.9

9.8

II X I

5.721

 

Minima

 2012-Jul-31 18:15

14.3

5.7

II X I

5.805

0.084

End

 2012-Jul-31 20:30

25.0

9.9

II X I

5.720

 

Start

 2012-Jul-31 23:00

24.9

9.8

II X I

5.720

 

Minima

 2012-Aug-01 02:20

10.5

4.1

II X I

5.836

0.116

End

 2012-Aug-01 05:00

24.8

9.8

II X I

5.721

 

Start

 2012-Aug-01 10:55

24.5

9.7

II X I

5.724

 

Minima

 2012-Aug-01 12:10

18.5

7.3

II X I

5.772

0.048

End

 2012-Aug-01 13:00

24.8

9.8

II X I

5.721

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Start

 2012-Aug-04 06:30

24.5

9.8

II X I

5.714

 

Minima 1

 2012-Aug-04 08:05

13.2

5.3

II X I

5.804

0.091

Minima 2

 2012-Aug-04 13:50

10.3

4.1

II X I

5.827

0.114

End

 2012-Aug-04 16:25

24.6

9.8

II X I

5.713

 

Start

 2012-Aug-05 00:45

24.8

9.9

II X I, TwXI

5.712

 

Minima 1

 2012-Aug-05 01:40

19.4

7.7

II X I, TwXI

5.810

0.099

Minima 2

 2012-Aug-05 03:35

 

20.0

II X I, TwXI

5.910

0.198

End

 2012-Aug-05 04:25

 

29.3

II X I, TwXI

5.734

 

Start

 2012-Aug-07 20:05

24.2

9.7

II X I

5.706

 

Minima

 2012-Aug-08 00:55

10.6

4.3

II X I

5.815

0.109

End

 2012-Aug-08 04:00

24.4

9.8

II X I

5.705

 

Start

 2012-Aug-08 14:05

 

11.3

II X I, TwXI

5.701

 

Minima 1

 2012-Aug-08 15:05

20.3

8.2

II X I, TwXI

5.808

0.107

Minima 2

 2012-Aug-08 16:35

 

17.4

II X I, TwXI

5.890

0.189

End

 2012-Aug-08 17:25

 

26.8

II X I, TwXI

5.696

 

Start

 2012-Aug-11 09:50

24.4

9.9

II X I

5.685

 

Minima

 2012-Aug-11 12:35

14.3

5.8

II X I

5.766

0.081

End

 2012-Aug-11 15:30

24.5

9.9

II X I

5.684

 

Start

 2012-Aug-25 04:50

24.6

10.3

II X III

5.203

 

Minima

 2012-Aug-25 05:35

15.1

6.4

II X III

5.279

0.076

End

 2012-Aug-25 06:20

24.2

10.2

II X III

5.206

 

 


Jovian Extinction Event Predictions:

 

Scott Degenhardt  June 15, 2012

Send data correspondence to scotty@scottysmightymini.com

http://scottysmightymini.com/JEE/

Predictions package:  http://scottysmightymini.com/JEE/JEE2012_Jun_Aug.zip

Ephemeris Source:

 

        http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi

 

Solar System Dynamics Group, Horizons On-Line Ephemeris System

     4800 Oak Grove Drive, Jet Propulsion Laboratory

     Pasadena, CA  91109   USA

     Information: http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/

     Connect    : telnet://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov:6775  (via browser)

                  telnet ssd.jpl.nasa.gov 6775    (via command-line)

     Author     : Jon.Giorgini@jpl.nasa.gov

Jovian Moon Configuration Graphic:

 

        Guide 8 by Bill Gray

        http://www.projectpluto.com/

 

Other Modeling tools:

 

        Starry Night 2007

Orion Special Edition

https://support.simulationcurriculum.com/home

http://www.telescope.com/

 

        Microsoft Excel

 

        The IAEP team and data from that study:

 

Scott Degenhardt, S. Aguirre, M. Hoskinson, A. Scheck, B. Timerson

International Occultation Timing Association (IOTA)

 

D. Clark

Administaff/Humble ISD Observatory

 

T. Redding

IOTA, Redding Observatory South

 

J. Talbot

RASNZ Occultation Section

All events for Jun – Aug 2012