Predictions

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Predictions of Jovian Extinction Events (JEE):

 

 

JEE2015

How_to_Observe_JEE.pdf

2015JEE_Jan-Mar.zip

2015JEE_Apr-Jun.zip

 

 

 

Archived predictions:

 

JEE2014

2014_All_JEE_V4.zip

EuropaGeyserPredictions_Sep2014-Apr2015.zip (paper pending, data embargoed describing this)

2014JEEVersion3predictions_README_FAQ.pdf

 

JEE2014 Call for Observations Power Point Discussion: http://scottysmightymini.com/JEE/2014IOTA_JEE2014CFO_Final.ppsx

 

 

JEE2013

2013_JEE_V2.zip

 

JEE2013SpecialEvents.zip

 

JEE2012

2012_Oct_Dec_JEE_V2.zip

 

Torus Tip prediction format:

 

·         UT Date and time of when Io is at elongation (furthest from Jupiter, thus in the center of its Torus Tip)

·         The “Tip” column will tell you which side of Jupiter Io is on

·         The times of the expected start and stop of extinction and the minima is given

·         All predictions are estimates and are likely accurate to within 5 minutes UT

·         Image Io as long as possible during these torus Tip transits, and be sure to include data outside of these predicted times (a minimum of 30 minutes or more when possible) to provide a baseline

·         Keep at least one other moon of Jupiter in your field of view to use as a photometric reference, preferably Europa or Ganymede

·         As with all photometry do not overexpose nor under expose your images

·         Video imaging seems to be the easiest way to document such lengthy photometric runs

 

Sample predictions:

Date Time UT

Start

minima

elongation

End

Tip

2012-Nov-28 23:31

21:59

23:09

23:31

2:15

E

Date Time UT

Start

elongation

minima

End

Tip

2012-Nov-29 20:44

18:00

20:44

21:06

22:16

W

 

 Standard Nomenclature:

 

Dates and times are UT

 

“Event type” = (A) B (C)

 

Where:

 

A = object in front

 

B = event, where:

        e = eclipse

        o = occultation

        x = dimming by atmospheric extinction

        u = dimming by flux tube

 

C = object in back

 

Objects:

 

        J = Jupiter

        I = Io

        II = Europa

        III = Ganymede

        IV = Callisto

        Te = Eastern tip of the Torus of Io

        Tw = Western tip of the Torus of Io

 

 


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